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Archive for the ‘Weather from Rick Cuttrell’ Category

 

Jean Bredin around town on Main Avenue. Wednesday Feb 9, 2017

Jean Bredin photo around town on Main Avenue. Wednesday Feb 9, 2017

Jean heads downtown seeking blizzard conditions, but Mother Nature produces about 3 inches.

She says,  “Wayne, Ocean Grove resident, was shoveling his sidewalk. He didn’t seem too happy.”

I said, “Well you can’t fool Mother Nature”….

He quickly replied ‘That’s a mother you don’t want !”

 

Snowy flamingo. Ocean Grove. 2/9/17. By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff. ©

Snowy flamingo. Ocean Grove. 2/9/17. By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff. ©

 

Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff, was also out taking photos. He found a flamboyant flamingo who should have flown south a fortnight ago.

Moe also said that a frog drove into town during the storm. The visiting amphibian parked on the wrong side of the street, so the police toad him away.  (Actually Moe reported that the NTPD was indeed towing some cars.)  Did anyone get fined for failing to shovel?

Also, Jean reported that businesses were closed today; except Nagles opened and fed some hungry tourists.

Any great snow photos?  Please email them to BF.

ANITA O’DAY:

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Ocean Grove Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2015.  By Jean Bredin, Blogfinger Citizen Photographer ©

Ocean Grove Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2015. By Jean Bredin, Blogfinger Citizen Photographer ©

Next up is the passage of an arctic cold front in the early evening hours on Wednesday.  This front will likely be accompanied by some intense snow squalls that could reduce visibility for a brief time and provide a fresh coating of snow.

Bitter cold air follows Thursday through Saturday morning.  The fresh snow cover greatly increases the chances of widespread sub-zero record low readings on Friday morning.

High temps on Thursday and Friday will be no higher than the teens.

There is a storm threat for the weekend.  The precipitation type is in question as there could be a brief warm-up before more cold air returns early next week.

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch

 

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A storm system will be passing by to our north late tonight and tomorrow morning, bringing a period of light snow between midnight and early tomorrow morning.  Accumulations will only be a coating to an inch, but the timing of the snow could result in some slippery travel for the morning commute.

The snow will end in the morning hours on Friday and sunshine will return in the afternoon.

Saturday will be a cold and blustery day with high temps only in the low to mid 20s.

There is another storm threat for Sunday night/Monday.  Cold high pressure will be building to our north as the polar vortex takes up a position in Quebec.

This is a recipe for overrunning precipitation in the form of snow for our area.

Regardless of the final outcome of this storm, bitterly cold air will arrive Monday night through Wednesday at which time low temperatures could approach zero.

By Rick Cuttrell.

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Weatherman Rick of Neptune  (the town, not the planet)

Weatherman Rick of Neptune (the town, not the planet)

 

Well, this one is not going on the resume…..

I will spare everyone the details of what went wrong with this storm other than to stay the capture of the surface low did not occur as planned so the track of the storm was about 75 miles further east.

So the major snow amounts projected to fall across much of NJ fell over central and eastern Long Island and central Connecticut.

It is bad enough along the coast here in Neptune where 8 to 10 inches of snow will fall by the end of the storm, or half the projected totals, but the forecast bust is monumental for inland sections where little snow has fallen.

There is always a zone where someone gets the shaft on snow amounts…this time it was New Jersey, versus the expectation that it would be eastern Pennsylvania.

Anyway, at this hour, the heaviest area of snow is in a triangle from northern Ocean County to Trenton and then up the Route 1 corridor to New Your City.  Snow will be ending during the morning hours.  Another inch or two will fall on top of what you have with areas of 3 inches within this heavier snow triangle.  All snow should be over by noon.

Cold weather for Wednesday and Thursday.  A clipper will bring some light mixed precipitation Thursday night followed by cold weather for the weekend.

The opportunity for redemption for forecasters may come as early next week as a storm ejects out of the southwest US and meets up with arctic air in place of the northeast U.S.

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch

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Ocean Grove boardwalk.  Tuesday evening, March 25, 2014.  By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff.  ©

Ocean Grove boardwalk. Tuesday evening, March 25, 2014. By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff. ©

 

TUESDAY – MARCH 25TH

A powerful coastal storm will be moving offshore later today and tonight. Snow associated with the storm will graze the area later this afternoon and tonight. Snow accumulations will be an inch or less in northern NJ north of the Route 1 corridor.   
1 to 3 inches of snow likely in central and southern NJ with the best chances for the higher end of this range over coastal sections.

Windy and cold Wednesday with high temps in the upper 30s and wind gusts of 35 to 40mph.

Milder weather as we move towards the end of March.

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch and Municipal Clerk

VILMOS FISCHER.  Mozart’s Piano Concerto #21 Andante.   From the movie Elvira Madigan

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Webb Ave.  9:30 am Monday. No plows yet. About 3 inches.  By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff ©

Webb Ave. 9:30 am Monday. No plows yet. OG awoke to about 3 inches. Still snowing lightly. Report and photo by Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff ©  left click for deeper drifts

Snow will end in the Neptune area by mid-morning..

Snow accumulations will be about 2 inches in Neptune.  The maximum amounts of 4 to 7 inches will be down in extreme southern NJ.

The potential for heavy snow amounts with this storm started to unravel on Saturday and by late morning on Sunday it was very apparent that the storm would be shunted to the south.  There were a lot of forecasts that were slow to reduce totals.  Specifically for the Neptune/central NJ area, there was zero support by Sunday afternoon for the 6+ inch totals that were being forecast yesterday afternoon and last night.

The main story today will be the bitter cold as temps drop into the teens…which is 25 degrees below the normal highs for March 3rd.  Near record lows will occur tonight and temperatures will remain below freezing until Thursday.

There are also multiple storm chances between now and mid-March

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch and Municipal Clerk

DAVID JOHANSEN  from the movie The Aviator:

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Weather.com

Weather.com

More snow is on the way.   In our area  snow will be in air for much of the day on Saturday from mid-morning through early evening. Initially along the coast, surface temperatures may be a bit too warm and the rate of snow too light to accumulate on paved surfaces.  But by afternoon, we should get into a period of steadier snow which will accumulate.

1 to 3 inches of snow is expected statewide, but some spots in interior central and southern Jersey could see 4 inches. This storm will have to be watched because if things come together a few hours earlier, it would produce a more widespread moderate snow event.

A cold Sunday and Monday will be followed by a storm Monday night and Tuesday which may start as snow but end as rain as temps get into the 40s on Tuesday.

Looking further ahead, a mild period is on the way from the 18th through next weekend.  High temps could approach or exceed 50 degrees on multiple days during this period.  I don’t see the threat of heavy rain, so the glacier that has formed over the northern half of the state should have the opportunity to melt without the threat of flooding.

After this warm period, there is every indication that we return to a colder, stormy regime for the end of February/early March.

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch and Municipal Clerk

Hey—listen up:  Valentine’s Day is almost over.   Forgetabout the weather. Instead, here is a classic love long.  Listen to it; devote two minutes to it.   It’s from Woody’s “Midnight in Paris.”   Close your eyes and imagine a classy cocktail party, and you are there, with a glass of Champagne in your hand while Cole Porter plays this song on the piano in the living room of a classy apartment.   Have you seen this movie?  You must, dahling.

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NJ.com

NJ.com

 Tuesday Forecast:

A Nor’easter will impact the area Wednesday night after midnight through most of the daylight hours on Thursday.

A strong coastal storm will be moving up along the eastern seaboard bringing a lot of precipitation, strong northeast winds and some minor coastal flooding.  The uncertainty in the forecast is with precipitation type and where it changes to rain.

All areas will start as snow after midnight Wednesday night, and there will be a few inches of snow on the ground by Thursday morning.

During the day on Thursday, as the storm moves closer, warmer air will be working into the system aloft so a change to sleet and rain will occur along the southern NJ coast.  This changeover line will progress northward Thursday morning.

Snow accumulations in Middlesex and Mercer, will be in the 8-12 inch range.   For central NJ, including Monmouth and northern Ocean, expect 4 to 8 inches before the change over to rain, with perhaps an additional inch or two Thursday afternoon with the change back to snow. The heaviest precipitation will occur between 6am and noon on Thursday.

Northeast winds will gust to gale force on Thursday.  Minor coastal flooding will likely occur.  Expect street flooding in the usual areas.

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch and Municipal Clerk

 

 

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Monday morning, 8:30 am, Ocean Grove. By Moe Demby.  ©  Blogfinger staff photo.

Feb. 3. 2014. , 8:30 am, Ocean Grove. By Moe Demby. © Blogfinger staff photo.

Plows out in full force. Ocean Grove 4:00 pm. Feb 3, 2014.  By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff

Plows out in full force. Ocean Grove 4:00 pm. Feb 3, 2014. By Moe Demby, Blogfinger staff

 

CHAIM TANNENBAUM    from Boardwalk Empire with Vince Giordano and the Nighthawks.

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weatherman

Wednesday, January 29

Our latest winter storm is moving out to sea, and all snow has ended.  2.3 inches fell in Neptune.  There was a wide range of accumulations with little snow to the north but 4 to 7 inches in southern coastal Ocean County.

21.6 inches of snow has fallen in the month of January in Neptune making it the snowiest January since 1996.  Probably the more significant statistic about our snowy January is that three snow events occurred with temperatures of 15 degrees or lower which is remarkable since a single such event is a rarity along the Jersey Shore.

Statistically we are right around the halfway point of the total winter snowfall average,  and thus far 26.6 inches of snow has fallen in Neptune.  In an average winter, 13.5 inches of snow falls after February 1st. Given the look and potential of the upcoming pattern, we should be able to hit this number, which would give us a 40+ inch snowfall winter.

After highs barely in the 20s today and single digit lows tonight, temperatures will be moderating through the weekend with highs on Saturday in the 40’s.

There are two time periods of interest for storminess next week, Monday, Feb. 3th and to a greater extent…Wedneday/Thursday Feb. 5th and 6th.

Source: Rick Cuttrell, Tri-State Storm Watch and Municipal Clerk

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